2 articles
Economic AGI is not a singularity or an ontological state — it is a factor-substitution threshold. Frontier models have crossed expert parity on standardized professional work at a fraction of human cost, and the threshold has been crossed for low-tail functions like customer support and content production. The remaining gap is autonomy, reliability, integration, and liability — not raw reasoning.
The U.S. unemployment rate sits at 4.1% while AI automates knowledge work. The actual friction is concentrated in entry-level hiring freezes, quiet attrition, and task reallocation — not mass layoffs. A structural framework for tracking AI-driven labor market transition.